March Mathness

As I was preparing to fill out my NCAA tournament bracket a few days ago, I realized that once again, I have gone a whole season without watching any games. This year I decided that instead of using some fuzzy logic or relying on "expert picks", I would let math determine my fate.

I managed to find a website that listed the winning percentages of each seed, in each round, over the past 20 years. I used these percentages and a little random number generation to fill in the bracket. In some of the later rounds I had to guestimate what the percentages should really be, but it seemed like a good system to follow. I was basically trying to achieve a weighted coin flip!

In the first round I was 20-12. In the second round, i went 8-8. This leaves me in an embarrasing 27th place(out of 30), in my office pool. At least I have 3 final four teams left (Illinois, Georgia Tech, North Carolina, Kentucky). Hopefully enough of those teams will come through, so that I can finish respectably in the middle of the pack!